Interesting bit of research concerning the future of ICE infrastructure...

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SpaceEVDriver

Scout Community Veteran
Oct 26, 2024
682
1,987
Arizona
Gas cars are disappearing, and this data shows it's happening before most people realize.

There’ll be fewer gas-powered cars on the road in California next year than this year. And every year after that. In Colorado and Washington State, that tipping point occurs in 2026.
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The implications to this hidden trend are wild. Revenue from gasoline sales and oil changes will begin to decline in several states in the next year or two.

For gas car drivers and owners, this shift means the infrastructure around their vehicles will start changing dramatically. Gas stations will become less profitable and may begin closing, especially in states that hit peak gas car earliest. Already, California has more EV charging stations than gas stations, signaling what's ahead. Maintenance networks for gas cars may shrink as demand falls, potentially making repairs more expensive and harder to find. Used gas car values could also decline faster than expected as buyers increasingly prefer EVs, while the resale market shifts toward electric vehicles. Gas car owners may find themselves driving an increasingly obsolete technology sooner than they anticipated.
 
In other parts of the world it is harder to find gas stations than finding charging stations. In the US today we are still putting multiple gas station on every corner. Hopefully all those US gas station can be converted to EV stations.
If I had f-u money, I’d be buying struggling corner gas stations in lower-income neighborhoods, do the UST remediation, install underground transformers in their place, including ground-source heat pump cooling; power them at least partially with solar over the building and pump cover structure, and install charging stations in the place of the pumps above ground. Then I’d franchise/sell/lease them back to the previous owner (if a local person) to keep the windshield washer tubs clean and full, and encourage locals to buy used EVs. Many of our local corner gas stations have several parking spaces that could be used for L2 charging as well.
 
I bet if you pulled this map for hose to automobile adoption, it would look very similar. I've actually seen this pattern play out in the tech world when we started migrating customers from on-prem equipment to cloud about 10 years ago. Nothing right or wrong about it, just how this country adopts new tech I guess.

As a Californian I will say we've already hit peak gas so it makes sense that the number of ICE vehicles on the road would peak slowly thereafter. FWIW last year 40% of new vehicle registrations in San Jose were EVs which is the highest in the country.
 
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I bet if you pulled this map for hose to automobile adoption, it would look very similar. I've actually seen this pattern play out in the tech world when we started migrating customers from on-prem equipment to cloud about 10 years ago. Nothing right or wrong about it, just how this country adopts new tech I guess.

As a Californian I will say we've already hit peak gas so it makes sense that the number of ICE vehicles on the road would peak slowly thereafter. FWIW last year 40% of new vehicle registrations in San Jose were EVs which is the highest in the country.
That’s awesome to see people changing their mindsets about EV’s. Despite political back pedaling the buying public is seeing the benefits of Electric